To put it simply, both sets of numbers are going in the wrong direction: Tuitions are increasing to unprecedented heights, while job prospects are both diminishing and paying less.
More money spent for less return can't be a good thing.
The problem starts with tuition, for which U.S. News cites ABA statistics:
- Average tuition at private law schools was up six percent in 2008 to $34,298
- State schools were up nine percent to and average annual cost of $16,836
- At Yale Law School, number one on the most recent U.S News ranking, tuition is $48,340 a year. The lowest tuition for a top 10 law school is at the University of California at Berkeley, which is in seventh place and charges in-state residents $35,907.
Now combine those numbers with dwindling returns, and the equation really goes down hill.
According to a separate U.S. News article, first-year associates at large law firms can expect to make $106,500 to $131,250, down 5.1 percent from last year. At midsize firms, associates can make between $71,500 and $100,750, and at small firms they might make from $49,750 to $73,000.
However, anecdotal reports indicate even those numbers are inaccurate, coming in significantly higher than real-world reports.
Reports from Manhattan, which historically would land at the higher end of the salary scale, say small firms are starting at $42k and midsized firms are offering $55k.
Job postings for small firms in Chicago are reportedly significantly less than that, starting in the mid 30,000 range. And this is without benefits.
However, the discrepancies might be explained by the source of U.S. News's salary statistics: Robert Half Legal, which is an attorney placement firm. If they are basing their statistics on their clients' salary offerings, then it's a safe assumption they are dealing with firms who can afford to pay the additional 20-25% of a first year associate’s annual salary that placement firms typically charge as a placement fee.
And this would argue for the anecdotal reports that those figures are out of step with real world offers.
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